With apologies to all the pundits out there who seem to think McCain might actually win Michigan, I just do not see it happening. It may be close, within 5 points maybe, but that’s how it always is. And for the last 4 elections, Michigan has voted for the Democratic candidate. And I say, if a state voted for Kerry, its most likely going to vote for Obama. If McCain wins MI I would be absolutely shocked. 12 years of John Engler’s devastation was enough Republican leadership for about 50 more years. Still trying to dig out from what he did. Granholm ain’t the greatest but she beat DeVos anyways. Plus, the voting in Detroit will be like 90% turnout and most of the Arab community in Detroit will support Obama too.
New polling has Obama up 45% -McCain 42%. 4 point change from a month ago. Still withing the margin of error of 4%. But encouraging. The more he’s here the more familiar and comfortable Michiganders will become of him I think.
Some interesting facts about Vice-Presidents (from here on in known as the Veep):
Only four siting Veeps ever became President:
John Adams in 1896
Thomas Jefferson in 1800
Martin VanBuren in 1896
George HW Bush in 1988
Nine Veeps have succeeded Presidents who died or resigned, the last one being Gerald Ford in 1974
Two shot a man while in office
Aaron Burr killed Alexander Hamilton in a duel in 1804
Dick Cheney shot his friend while hunting (not nearly as valiant)
Only 7 Veeps served two full terms including Bush I, Gore and Nixon
Andrew Johnson took his 1865 oath of office drunk
Fascinating, I know. But this is now going to be the new game of speculation in the press. Who will McCain and Obama choose to run with them? I’m in the game of speculation now, so I am listing who I personally think his top chocies are or should be. This is based on things floating around in my head.
Who Obama may select (in no particular order):
Bill Richardson-New Mexico governor
Mark Warner-former Virginia gov and current Senate candidate**my favorite**
Sam Nunn-former Senator from Georigia
Tim Kaine-current VA gov
Janet Napolitano-current Arizona Gov
Someone not being talked about-former military person or Gov
Jack Reed–Senator from Rhode Island (military background)
People I don’t see being selected:
John Edwards-already said he wouldn’t do it again
Jim Webb-too many problems in the past
Hillary Clinton-need I say anything?
Another Senator-just seems like you want someone outside Washington
Kathleen Sebelius-much talked about but just doens’t seem like a good choice to me
For what its worth, that’s my opinion. I’ll tackle the McCain choices tomorrow. I’ll update my list if I get any feelings that something is changing. Feel free to chime in on the person or type of person you think Obama or McCain should choose!
Barack Obama did what everyone said was impossible a year ago, he beat Hillary Clinton for the nomination. Remember the “inevitability” of Clinton’s candidacy? How Obama was 30 points down in all the polling, how African-Americans didn’t think he could win and were supporting Clinton overwhelmingly, how she had vastly more money than he? Ah yes, so much can change in a year.
I was at my Democracy for American training this weekend in Lansing, or I certainly would have watched her speech and blogged on Saturday. I did get to see it and almmost feel out of my chair when she said she endorsed Obama and would work her heart out to elect him. She even said “Yes we can!” I was thinking, wait, seriously, where is the real Hillary Clinton? Who’s this imposter speaking? Honestly, it was a very good speech so I applaud her on that. Hopefully, we’ve heard the last from her for a good long time. There will be no Clinton VP no matter how much the press wants to speculate on it.
Its almost like a huge feeling of relief is sweeping over me. My candidate has never been the Dmeocratic nominee before, so this is a new experience for me. Definitely feels great for a change. I almost don’t know what to blog about now that the primary (all 6 months of it) is over.
I say, Victory Part I because victory will only be truly complete with an Obama win in November. Its going to be long and hard work, even more so than the primary. But now I can move on to comparing McCain and Obama, and there are some very stark differences, so it should be a good time.
“While Senator Clinton has made clear throughout this process that she will do whatever she can to elect a Democrat to the White House, she is not seeking the vice presidency, and no one speaks for her but her,” Howard Wolfson, one of the Clinton campaign’s chief strategists, said in a statement provided to The New York Times. “The choice here is Senator Obama’s, and his alone.”
Well good, I should think its his choice. Get all these bumbling idiots pushing for Hillary to be VP, starting all these idiotic online petitions, out of the picture now. Tell them to cease and desist. I mean really, do they think its going to actually help her cause for VP if they try to FORCE it down Obama’s throat? Seems to me they are just making it more unlikely than it already was that he will choose her. I wouldn’t if someone tried to force something on me. It’d make him look weak and unable to make his own decision. It’s NEVER going to happen I believe.
Its now been reported just about everywhere that Hillary will be anouncing on Saturday (not sure why she has to wait until then) that she is conceding the race, suspending her campaign, and fully endorsing Obama. She’s made herself look like a complete ass by not conceding Tuesday night, but hey, true colors.
Though this reporting is great news, I will not fully believe it until I hear those words come from her own mouth. There’s been too much deception and alternative realities coming from that campaign all year long. Hard to expect they actualy ackonwledge the truth for once.
All in all, what a fantastic week its been: my candidate wins the nomination (first time ever) and my team, the Red Wings, won the Stanley Cup last night!!! Woooo-hooooo!! Now where’s that job…..
It has been about 15 months since this campaign actually started last year. It has been five months since the first voting started in Iowa when Obama stunned the world by beating Hillary. And now, finally, at last, this primary contest is over. As I write this tonight, Obama is 10 delegates away from having the 2118 delegates needed to clinch and own the nomination. He will be receiving at least 14-16 delegates from Montana and South Dakota and that will put him over the top definitively (if it doesn’t happen before the end of those contests at 10pm EST).
One commandment I have to Barack–DO NOT CHOOSE HILLARY AS VP. I would literally puke. But I really don’t think he will, no matter how desperately and shamefully she begs for the VP slot. I could go on and on about this and how bad it would be, but I am really very confident he will not choose her because he has said in the past that the country needs to turn the page from the Bush and Clintons. Bye bye Billary.
Let me first say that given the insanity of the Clinton campaign, I don’t count on anything until it happens. HOWEVER, please note the following anecdotes:
1. Clinton’s advance people (who plan and set up events before she arrives) have been asked to either go home or go to the NYC Clinton event Tuesday night.
2. Clinton will be holding an event in NYC Tuesday night, not Montana or SD.
3. All staff have been asked to turn in expense receipts by the end of this week.
4. Top supporters like former Iowa Governor and current national co-chair of the Clinton campaign are saying she needs to acknowledge after Tuesday night Obama is going to be the party’s nominee.
5. Clinton has summoned her top donors and supporters to attend her speech Tuesday night.
6. Both she and Obama are scheduled to be in Washington on Wednesday (so the rumor goes)
7. She has no math skills
Skies will open, sun will pour down, joyful sounds will echo he earth when Hillary finally concedes. After nearly 6 months of primaries, I can’t wait until its over and we can move on to the GE and defeating McCain.
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